Full convertibility in three years!
In an article published in April in this paper, I had argued that India is not ready for capital account convertibility (CAC). Events since then have only tended to emphasise this impression. Even finance minister P Chidambaram has, in his recent speech, in New York voiced similar concerns. He has emphasised the importance of being very careful with financial market reforms and the need to continuously monitor the "fundamentals" of the economy. However, at the same time, he has resolved to stick to the deadline of "three years" to achieve CAC. This appears a bit incongruous. One is being asked to continuously monitor the fundamentals and achieve "targets" yet, at the same time, the confidence is voiced that in three years the goal of CAC will be achieved.
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A pragmatic plan
The Disinvestment Commission's recommendations have once again been eminently reasonable. While the Union finance ministry may not react warmly given the magnitude of fiscal strains, there is no doubt whatsoever that the Commission has demanded a far-reaching reform in mooting that disinvestment should be delinked from the annual budgetary exercise.
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