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Ahead of polls, inflation rate back in single digit

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Agencies

Posted: Nov 13, 2008 at 1351 hrs IST

New Delhi, November 13: Inflation made a welcome return to single digit growth at 8.98 per cent after five months, thanks to lower industrial oil, commodity and food prices that comes as a great comfort to the government, even as economists saw prices easing further.

Inflation, as measured by the wholesale prices index, declined sharply by 1.74 per cent for the week ending November one from 10.72 per cent in the previous week, a development that may prompt RBI to ease money supply further to spur economic growth in an election year.

The highest ever decline in the last many months is mainly on account of cheaper fuel items like naphtha, jet fuel, furnace oil and light diesel oil as a result of falling global crude prices, which is trading at 20 months low at 56.16 dollars from 145 dollars a barrel in July.

Inflation had shot up to a 13-year high of 11.05 per cent fuelled by administered hike in prices of petrol, diesel and cooking gas for the first week of June from 8.75 per cent.

Some manufactured items like metals (iron and steel, zinc, lead) also turned less expensive because of less demand on account of global meltdown.

"We see inflation at 5.5-6 per cent by March. RBI can now more aggressively cut rates. I expect 100 basis points repo rate cut this year. There could also be a reverse repo rate cut of 50 basis points," said Crisil Principal Economist D K Joshi.

Yes Bank Chief Economist Subhada Rao expected measures to inject liquidity as well as nudge interest rate lower in the near term as inflation concerns rapidly recedes. "I expect repo rate cut of 50 bps in the near term. There could also be a possibility of 25 bps cut in the reverse repo as well."

Analysts are expecting industrial growth to slow down in October as a fall out of global financial crisis, after a partial recovery in September.

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Number Game! by raju on 14 Nov 2008

GOI figures are just number games to fool the people. The ground reality is totaly different, any the minister don't go to the market!

COMMODITY PRICES v/s INFLATION RATE by Arun Chandra Satsangi on 13 Nov 2008

We have been tracking the prices of the items we buy on daily and monthly basis for last five months and not a single commodity price price has been reduced and or come down then how far is the claim of Current Inflation rate can be taken as correct.

inflation by dilip raja on 13 Nov 2008

this figure is concocted by the govt and the corrupt media financed by the minorities to bring back the anti people upa back to power.

Inflation is a statistics! by R.Balasundaram on 13 Nov 2008

In any standard book on statistics, you will find the definition of statistics as-" There are three kinds of lies- lies,damned lies and statistics".On seeing the inflation rate and the elections in six states, I am reminded of the definition !

On the inflation rate by Subramanian on 13 Nov 2008

We are unable to understand how this inflation rate has come down when we still pay heavy price for fuel, vegetables and groceries. This may be a book work by the govt. to show the people that the prices have fallen down just before the elections.

Economics Vs Politics by David on 13 Nov 2008

You have zero or no understanding of economics and always sees politics in everything the government does or doesn't.

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