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Asia's tiger economies take big hits

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Reuters

Posted: Nov 28, 2008 at 1630 hrs IST

Bangkok Asia's tiger economies took a bigger hit from the global slowdown sooner than expected as South Korea's industrial output fell sharply in October and Thailand posted its slowest export growth in six years.

The economic crisis that has gripped the developed world has started to bite in what had been one of the world's fastest-growing regions and a rise in political risk in Thailand and India could exacerbate the growing economic problems.

Although Indian annual economic growth between July and September came in stronger than expected in a Reuters poll at 7.6 per cent, data on Friday showed, it marked the slowest pace of expansion in almost four years.

Malaysian growth data, to be released later, is expected to show that the economy expanded by 4.5 per cent in the third quarter from a year earlier, which would be its worst performance in over 3 years.

Indonesia, South Korea and India have been been caught in the credit crunch due to large external corporate indebtedness. Falling foreign exchange reserves in South Korea and a rising current account deficit in Thailand only add to financial vulnerabilities as they increase exposure to external shocks.

"We know Asian economies would be caught in the direct headlight of two oncoming trains; the global credit freeze and the weak global demand," investment bank UBS said in a report issued on Friday.

"While these aren't unexpected factors, what has surprised us was the extent and speed at which these shocks have hurt what we still maintain were/are strong Asian fundamentals as the credit storm approached," the investment bank said.

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