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Brajesh’s advice for Indians: Keep quiet

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Shubhajit Roy

Posted: Jan 12, 2012 at 0244 hrs IST

New Delhi As the confrontation between the Pakistani army and government escalated on Wednesday, the Indian strategic affairs community termed the situation in that country as “difficult” and “deteriorating”, but did not foresee the possibility of a coup.

The comments from former Indian diplomats came on a day when the PPP-led government fired the Pakistani defence secretary. Retired Lt. Gen. Naeem Khalid Lodhi, an army loyalist, was dismissed for “gross misconduct and illegal action” over the memo scandal plaguing the country.

Former National Security Adviser Brajesh Mishra said Wednesday, “My advice to all Indians is to keep quiet.” Commenting on the developments, former Foreign Secretary Lalit Man Singh said, “What is unravelling is the growing difference Pakistan’s civilian government and army, with the courts playing a role.” Singh added that the consequences of the crisis are difficult to gauge.

Former deputy high commissioner to Pakistan, M K Bhadrakumar described the situation as a “slow-motion crisis” that reached a critical stage in the past two or three days. He said Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani’s interview to the China’s People’s Daily on the memo issue — while the army chief General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani was in China — was a “deliberate act of provocation” that “undercut the authority of the army chief”. However, Bhadrakumar said he didn’t see the makings of an “imminent army coup”. He said the real battle was between the civilian government and the Pakistan’s judiciary.

Former foreign secretary Salman Haider also felt the army was not going to move against civilian government. “If that would have been the case, it would have happened by now. The army is not trigger-happy, it has shown restraint,” he said.

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CONFRONTATION OF PAK GOVERNMENT WITH PAK ARMY by PUSHPINDER SINGH on 12 Jan 2012

It is obvious that the Civilian Govt. has read the writing on the wall, given that the Supreme Court has more or less indicted the Govt. as corrupt. If this Govt. is forced out through the process of law, they will get a solid drubbing in the next elections. Therefore, they are trying to provoke the Army into a coup. The Army is showing remarkable and wise restraint. They should allow the process of law to deal with this corrupt Govt. The two Generals should consider moving the Supreme Court against the PM's attempt to belittle the Army and ISI, specially when the Army Chief was visiting China. The ill timed attack on the Army Chief, by the PM, in effect deprived authority from the Chief's official visit to China.

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