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Analysts agreed that polls five months before the election may not be indicative of the final outcome but would be watched closely by the candidates.
In the CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll, the first conducted entirely after Obama became the presumptive Democratic nominee, he leads his Republican counterpart 49 per cent to 46 per cent among registered voters -- a statistical tie, given the 3-point margin of error.
McCain and Obama are not alone. Independent candidate Ralph Nader and Republican-turned-Libertarian Bob Barr are vying with the two major-party candidates for independent voters.
But at this point, the poll says it looks unlikely either will play a spoiler role. When pollsters asked about a field of candidates that includes Nader and Barr, the margin between Obama and McCain was virtually unchanged, with Democrat leading 47 per cent to 43 percent. Nader pulls in 6 per cent and Barr 2.
A hypothetical Obama-Hillary Clinton ticket would currently get 52 per cent of the vote, compared with 46 per cent for a hypothetical McCain-Mitt Romney ticket, according to the poll.


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