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WB cuts Vietnam growth forecast to 5.5%

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Reuters

Posted: Mar 17, 2009 at 1205 hrs IST

Hanoi The World Bank has cut its forecast for Vietnam's economic growth this year to 5.5 per cent from 6.5 per cent but its top official in Vietnam said the country was better placed than most to withstand the global crisis.

"There was a lot of adjustment, a lot of good work done last year and that positions Vietnam better than other countries," country director Martin Rama said on Tuesday.

"Vietnam is not anticipated to have a crisis. It's facing a slowdown."

The previous forecast dates from late last year and the World Bank would probably revise the number again in April, Rama told reporters on the sidelines of a conference on Vietnam's economy hosted by the Economist Intelligence Unit, which is forecasting dismal 0.3 per cent growth in gross domestic product.

The economy expanded 6.2 per cent last year after being buffeted by a domestic overheating crisis sparked by high inflation and a widening trade deficit. In 2007 it grew 8.5 per cent.

Although exports are a big factor in growth, the performance of some other sectors will also be critical this year, along with government stimulus measures.

"We believe that the key will be in the construction sector. The construction sector had a very bad year last year," he said.

"We believe that the stimulus package can have an impact on construction and if there is a decent performance in the construction sector, then growth will be above the forecast by the Economist Intelligence Unit."

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