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Modi govt all set to present annual budget

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Posted: Feb 25, 2008 at 0045 hrs IST

Gandhinagar, February 24 With a healthy revenue surplus and buoyant taxation sources, the Narendra Modi government is all set to present the 2008-09 Budget -- enjoying a favourable economic situation -- though with chinks that would need to be addressed.

To be presented by state Finance Minister Vajubhai Vala, the budget would also carry the imprints of the annual development plan. So far, Vala and his junior Saurabh Patel have been able to smile through the budget preparation thanks to a buoyancy cushion of up to 20 per cent in the Value Added Tax (VAT) and Sales Tax (ST) collections that are set to cross the Rs 15,000 crore mark this year.

The Annual Plan size for the year 2008-09 has been tentatively fixed at Rs 18,900 crore with departments like Urban Development, Education, Health and Industries seeing major jumps in terms of percentage gain.

Though yet to be taken to the Planning Commission for a formal approval, sources inform that given the state government’s better fiscal management, a benevolent Commission might actually push the plan size further, like it did last year. The good news for Vala and his Minister of State (Finance and Planning) Saurabh Patel comes from the continuing Revenue Surplus (see figures) for the past two years; tight control over expenditure in employee wage bill as compared to other states; and a fiscal deficit that shows signs of continuous downfall.

Among the chinks in the budget would be provisions for the Sardar Sarovar Project. It needs Rs 10,000 crore more if it is to be completed by 2010. Against this, the government is making only a provision of Rs 3,400 crore with just one more year to go.

One more tool in the hands of the Opposition to put the treasury benches on the mat would be the stagnation of development expenditure. While it has stagnated for a few years in percentage terms according to the RBI, the state ‘s development expenditure actually dipped in absolute terms last year. From Rs 25,299 crore in 2006-07, it came down to Rs 25,159 crore in 2007-08. In a corresponding sign of worry, the non-development expenditure has shot up by a good 16 per cent from Rs 12,009 crore in 2006-07 to Rs 13,933 crore in 2007-08. Also, while the plan expenditure increased marginally by 2.9 per cent in the corresponding period, the non-plan expenditure flared by over 10 per cent.

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