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October
10, 2000
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Signing
on the dotted line with eyes wide shut
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Debate,
dont dictate
Rao
brought in economic reforms stealthily, without open discussion.
The BJP-led government has adopted the same tactics, while opening
more sectors
TWO
reports have landed on my table at the same time. One claims that
the Indian economy is fourth in the world in terms of purchasing
power parity (PPP). The other, an UNDP document, points out that
India accounted for 30 per cent of all maternal deaths in the world
and 40 per cent of child labour. Both make depressing reading.
Indias
per capita income remains low. It is less than that of Pakistan.
Only the countrys purchasing power has increased. But this
is not spread out among the population as is the case in
the USA, China and Japan, the three nations placed above us
but confined to roughly one-fifth of the population. A little more
than 200 million Indians are going up the ladder. This lot has the
money to indulge in consumerism, while the rest are getting marginalised
rapidly. The liberalisation of economy the Vajpayee governments
panacea for poverty eradication is not only ruining more
lives, it is creating ever-widening disparities.
In
the name of economic reforms, the government has taken steps that
have led to the closure of numerous small scale units. Many more
are on their last legs. Agreed, self-reliance which has been
our policy for decades does not fit in the world of globalisation.
But there is something called self-interest which is non-negotiable.
New Delhis policies are verging on extravagance. Yet it remains
a cheerleader among the developed nations, because it helps the
rich sell themselves to the Third World.
The
prime minister has now promised yet another series of steps to liberalise
the economy. What this really means is that we will be pawning our
country to foreign companies at a more feverish pace than before.
Indeed, leading foreign investors are having a field day. They are
acquiring Indian ventures and crowding out local competition through
any pressure they can exert. Once they come to establish their supremacy,
if we are to go by past experience, they will raise the price of
their products to recover rapidly what they lost
earlier. In any case, most of their investments are in food products,
cold drinks, shoes, clothes, television and cars. This is where
the purchasing power has come to count. The 200-million plus people
in India can afford to buy what many Europeans find beyond their
means. Some among them do not bother to even read the price-tag
and lap up anything that had once appeared tantalisingly phoren.
This
opening up would create conditions where millions of Indians are
bound to be driven to the wall, but what people do not realise is
that it is their own government which has been devising these policies.
Is there no way that the government can protect vulnerable units
and people? Too many distress calls are coming from the field, but
the government is not responding to them. The other day, the minister
of state for small-scale industries, Vasundhara Raje Scindia, told
Parliament that a committee had been set up to find alternative
avenues to provide a cushion for those affected by these processes.
But why does the government act so late? It could have protected
some sectors by not throwing everything open. It could have fixed
its priorities so that foreign capital flows to specific fields
which need it, like that of infrastructure.
The
Narasimha Rao government brought in economic reforms stealthily,
without any open discussion. The BJP-led government has adopted
the same tactics, even while opening more sectors. Is there any
harm in taking the nation into confidence? A proposal, which the
government wants implemented, should be the subject of public debate.
At present, decisions are announced after Cabinet meetings, like
the fiat of an autocrat government. The Vajpayee coalition is also
taking advantage of a long recess, nearly three months between the
Monsoon and Winter sessions of Parliament. There is a proliferation
of announcements, even ordinances, to attract foreign
investment.
The
government should know that the resentment has spread to such an
extent that the very word, videshi, has become suspect. New Delhis
waywardness has made the BJPs own journal, Swadeshi, blast
the government on the issue. Let us know whose agenda is being followed.
The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are said
to have laid down certain conditions, which we have to follow to
get any assistance. All we seem to be doing is signing on the dotted
line. Yet both the WB and the IMF have come in for public flak.
The recent demonstration at Prague, is a case in point. Last November,
there was a similar demonstration against the WTO in Seattle.
Against
this background, when Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha accepts the
position of the chairman of the Development Committee of the IMF-World
Bank, what should the nation infer? India, a Third World country,
has come in handy. It will be used to influence other developing
countries to submit themselves to the two institutions.
Sinha
was once pro-socialist. He was also a spokesman of the Janata Dal,
which did not want foreign companies to prowl about. Former socialist
George Fernandes, who was instrumental in throwing out Coca-Cola
and the IBM, is now part of the government. New Delhi has also given
free access to foreign cartels by removing qualitative restrictions
from 714 items. The result is that commodities like tea, coffee,
spices, vegetables and rubber products from abroad have already
flooded our markets. What happens to our white revolution in milk?
Europe subsidises diary products. How can Indian milkmen withstand
the competition? The United Planters Association of Southern India
(UPASI) has already sought tariff protection for crops like tea,
coffee and rubber. Where is the convergence of interests,
a phrase used by Clinton during his India visit and repeated by
Vajpayee in the US?
Convergence
of interests can only happen between two equals or near equals.
Otherwise, the rich will exploit the poor. The UNDP document tells
us Indias deficiency in human development. Although the decade
1987-1997 saw a decline in infant mortality by 25 per cent, the
divergence among different states and districts is striking
as low as 12 per cent in Kerala and as high as 96 and 94 in Orissa
and Madhya Pradesh. What this means is that the better off states,
like the better off people, are cornering all the benefits, leaving
most in the country to wallow in poverty. The Brazilian President,
when he visited New Delhi, was asked: How is your countrys
economy doing? He replied: The economy is
doing well but not the people. India may realise, as
Latin America has done after 25 years of liberalisation, that reforms
are meant for people, not the other way round.
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