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July
7, 2001
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Rational
Expectations
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Setting
up a fall guy
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This
may sound dumb, but I’m still not clear about the exact reason as
to why UTI chief P.S. Subramanyam was sacked. It certainly can’t
be because, as Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha will have us believe,
the UTI chief didn’t tell the ministry he’d be suspending US-64?
Without saying so directly -how can they, they’ll be sacked -there
have been enough UTI staffers including executive director B.G.
Daga who have said the ministry was informed of every move. Daga,
in fact, said so on national television when he was grilled on it.
Besides, with so many heads of government-owned financial institutions
on the board of trustees of UTI — the chiefs of IDBI, LIC and SBI,
and there’s even an RBI executive director — it speaks even more
poorly of Sinha if he didn’t know what was going on. If he didn’t
know, for instance, that these worthies met last week to insert
a new clause in the rules, to allow them to suspend trading in US-64
(see this newspaper of July 5 for more details).
So could it be that Subramanyam was sacked because he ran down the
fund, and because of the allegations of UTI pumping in huge sums
of money to buy certain shares in order to bail out Ketan Parekh?
If so, Sinha’s certainly done the right thing, but it must be pointed
out that these allegations have been doing the rounds for many months
now — UTI’s purchase of several dud shares like Cyberspace Infosys
at astronomical prices has been well known for a long time. So why
didn’t Sinha take some action all these months — or did he buy Subramanyam’s
explanation for why UTI was continuing to buy shares like Zee Telefilms
when almost every analyst had put ‘‘sell’’ recommendations on the
share? Well if he bought what Subramanyam had to say then, why is
he painting Subramanyam as the villain of the piece now?
Sacking Subramanyam, and pretending ignorance about the shadowy
goings-on in the country’s largest mutual fund, essentially helps
gloss over all the inconvenient questions about the role of the
finance ministry and of sundry politicians in asking financial institutions
to pick up shares of favoured corporates, to dump the scrips of
those who have fallen out of favour, and so on. Sinha can keep denying
it till he’s blue in the face, but the fact is financial institutions
are abused like this regularly — this newspaper has carried series
of news stories on its front page on the various bailouts organised
for steel firms and others. Subramanyam, incidentally, will be in
a position to shed light on such matters, but since he’s got the
shadow of a possible CBI inquiry and prosecution over his head,
it pays to be discreet —he’ll now practice the kind
of omerta that even the mafia’ll be proud of.
When announcing US-64’s disastrous results, Subramanyam offered
a way out. He said UTI held huge chunks of shares of corporates,
and he’d ask the corporates to buy these back at a premium — otherwise,
he held the threat — he’d dump these shares in the market, or maybe
sell them to other strategic investors. Almost immediately, once
Subramanyam was sacked, the ministry of finance told UTI there was
no question of such strategic sales. Why? Because some favoured
corporates obviously complained that they could stand to lose control
of their empires. And Sinha’ll have us believe there’s no political
interference in the running of financial institutions.
Sinha’s culpability gets even worse when you consider the fact that
he made taxpayers shell out more than Rs 3,000 crore to bail out
UTI just two years ago. He knew at that time certainly, even if
you assume he didn’t before, that there was a lot wrong at UTI.
So when he gave them the money, what did he do to ensure a tight
vigil was kept? This, by the way, is why the mantra of the small
investor is being invoked so religiously while setting the grounds
for UTI being bailed out once again — that way, it can be done in
a hurry, without paying too much attention first to ensuring these
funds are not misused again. Once UTI is flush with funds, and public
attention moves elsewhere at it invariably does, it will have recovered
enough to be freshly assaulted, in a manner that’ll make rape look
like a minor traffic offence.
And in case you think I’m vastly over-stating the case, just compare
the actions taken by the government to safeguard public money with
the energy it has shown in diverting more money into the stock markets.
First, banks were exhorted to lend more money against shares. Then,
a report was commissioned to examine the country’s pension market
and this study, headed by S.A. Dave (coincidentally, another ex-UTI
chief), recommended that pension funds put in more of their money
in the stock market! Imagine the windfall for corporates if this
had happened — it was the dogged objection of the labour ministry,
not the finance ministry, that ensured the scheme never took off.
And imagine the havoc that would have been caused with our politicians
now in charge of yet another cash-trove to provide funds for their
favourites.
The buck very clearly stops with Sinha, and it’s high time he admits
it. But then, when no one really senior took responsibility for
what happened at Kargil, maybe it is a bit unrealistic to be so
harsh with poor Sinha.
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