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October
13, 2001
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Rational
Expectations
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Backwards
into the future
Punjab
opposing the WTO policy on constitutional grounds shows how low
the state has sunk
AT
the time of the Kandahar crisis, people wondered why the government
didn’t announce its decision to free militants like Masood Azhar
and Ahmed Omar Saeed Sheikh for the hostages of flight IC 814 during
the day, but waited till late in the evening to declare this. Well,
the story goes, the government didn’t want anyone filing a public
interest litigation (PIL), and then getting a stay against releasing
the hijackers!
Another
version of the story, and this could be apocryphal, is that the
Cabinet even debated on whether it could get someone to file such
a PIL — saying the government had no right to release the terrorists
— so it could tell the Taliban-backed hijackers it couldn’t release
the militants as the courts had ruled against it.
That
story which looked ridiculous in December 1999, sadly, appears to
be coming true now, in October 2001 — the duly-elected government
in Punjab has decided to challenge, in the Supreme Court, the Union
government’s signing of the WTO accord under Article 131 of the
Constitution. The state’s cabinet decided on this two days ago,
and if you think this is a joke, just look at Friday’s newspapers.
An official spokesperson told the media (the press is called that
nowadays) that some areas in the accord — such as agriculture and
small-scale industries — come under either the sole jurisdiction
of the state governments (this is called the ‘state list’) or under
the dual jurisdiction of the centre and the states (the ‘concurrent
list’). As such, the Union government had no right to sign away
the rights of the states at the altar of the World Trade Organisation
without consulting the states.
And
you wonder why investors, especially those from overseas, think
India’s a country full of jokers, and that it reneges on its commitments
all the time. All you need now, to take this to the ultimate in
ridiculousness, is for some crackpot individual to take even the
simplest government rule to some court or the other, on some ground
or the other, and get it stalled. The government’s forcing us to
pay taxes, I’m sure it could be argued, goes against the principle
of choice, for instance. Or did the government get the approval
of the people of India, through the hallowed portals of Parliament,
to sell Hindustan Teleprinters Limited, one of the jewels of its
crown (zirconium, surely). And if it didn’t, is the sale legal?
Do
you know, and this is not a joke, at the height of the problem the
Maharashtra government was having with Enron’s Dabhol Power Company
project, one of the suggestions was the state scrap the project
while saying the price of power agreed to in the agreement was violative
of rule XYZ (or is that ABC?) of the Electricity Act — this rule
specifies the kind of returns that a generating company can get,
and clearly Dabhol was getting much more than this. Now I am in
favour of scrapping the project if it can be done without incurring
an exorbitant cost (in which case it would be cheaper to carry on
with the project, no matter how flawed it may be), but this suggestion
is truly ridiculous. After all, the same ‘violation’, if indeed
it was one, was countersigned by both the state and the Central
governments.
What’s
even more frightening is that this action has been taken by Punjab
which is arguably one of India’s most progressive states. This is
the state which will benefit the most from the WTO agreement, and
any further agreements that will flow from it. Currently, the developed
world, especially the European Union, has huge subsidies that protect
its farm sector — once these are reduced and agriculture is truly
freed up, and that’s what future WTO rounds are aimed at, India
will benefit as its agricultural exports can increase dramatically.
Naturally, unless the Punjab farmer’s legendary enterprise is completely
exhausted by now, it is Punjab whose exports will go up the most.
Similarly,
for all the pious nonsense dished out by politicians about small-scale
industries, it’s well-established that they’re inefficient, and
that over half the products reserved for manufacture by these units
are not even produced by them. Cloth produced on powerlooms in the
small sector, it is true, is much cheaper than that produced by
the larger mill sector, but that has nothing to do with relative
levels of efficiency. It has a lot to do with the fact that powerlooms
pay no taxes while the mills do.
India,
or possibly just Punjab, could walk out of the WTO, but that still
won’t prevent inexpensive Chinese goods from flooding the markets
here — the Chinese, you see, don’t believe in small-scale, but produce
even toys in factories whose volumes run into several million pieces
a year. India’s textile sector, today largely in the small sector,
is largely obsolete and once protection under the WTO goes (that’s
right, this sector is actually protected by the current WTO-type
agreement), India’s textile exports will suffer badly. The only
way forward is to modernise dramatically, to make both industry
and agriculture efficient. Going backwards into the twenty-first
century isn’t going to help.
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