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October
20, 2001
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Rational
Expectations
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Survival
lessons for Mr Sinha
With
the FM constantly shuffling his babus, it’s not surprising he gets
flak for all that’s wrong
EVER
wondered why everyone’s constantly gunning for Finance Minister
Yashwant Sinha whenever anything goes wrong with the economy, whether
it’s the UTI problem, the cash-crunch at IDBI, or even the slowdown
in the Indian economy? And while it’s fun to make cracks at Sinha’s
saying certain things weren’t brought to his notice, it’s useful
to keep in mind that even Manmohan Singh’s defence in the great
Harshad Mehta scam of 1992 was that he was unaware of the goings
on in the stock market. So why does everyone target Sinha when Singh
got away unscathed? After all, even during the last major reshuffle,
speculation was rife that Sinha would be shifted out of finance.
Well,
one reason for Sinha being constantly targeted, of course, could
be his regular shuffling around of his core team of bureaucrats.
He’s had four finance secretaries already in his four years in office,
and is believed to be looking for a fifth one. He’s had three advisors/consultants
already, and is looking for a fourth. Naturally, the rest of the
team such as the revenue/expenditure secretaries have also changed
many times over. So, when Sinha’s constantly moving his bureaucrats
around, he’s finally seen as the one responsible for everything
that goes right, or wrong — after all, he’s the only common element
in all the teams! That, by the way, is not altogether a bad thing
because politicians are generally so slippery that they hardly ever
get the flak for anything.
Now
I’m no great supporter of either Finance Secretary Ajit Kumar or
Revenue Secretary S. Narayan (these are everyone’s ‘favourites’
for those definitely being moved out in the impending bureaucratic
shuffle), but if they’re seen as inefficient/obstructionist, can
we just remove them quickly and get on with running the country?
It is now over four months since we’ve been hearing about a big
bureaucratic reshuffle. With all this uncertainty, it is a wonder
the secretaries have done anything worthwhile at all.
Here
is an example of what ‘authorship’, or ‘ownership’ does as far as
bureaucrats are concerned. Again, this is no endorsement (or the
opposite) of N.K. Singh, but one of the things he was pushing when
he was in the finance ministry was the repeal of FERA, and replacing
it with FEMA and the Money Laundering Bill. Well, FERA got repealed,
FEMA got legislated, but the Money Laundering Bill didn’t, leaving
a gaping big hole for criminals to escape from. Clearly if N.K.
Singh was still in charge of this legislation, he would have been
pushing for it, and forcing his political bosses to add their bit.
It is not as if the others in his place, or in the political class,
are not pushing the same thing, but the author of a move tends to
push it just that much harder.
Similarly,
Govindrajan who used to be Secretary Fund-Bank in the finance ministry
was transferred to the Department of Company Affairs, and just when
he began to get a hang of all the investigations into various companies
for siphoning off of funds and other irregularities, he was transferred.
There is now talk of him coming back to the finance ministry. Clearly,
you can’t get ‘authorship’ if you’re there in a post for just a
year, or even under that. Remember the Yes Minister adage ‘‘permanence
is power, rotation is castration.’’
The
reason for the constant shuffling around of secretaries, of course,
is the political leadership’s refusal (and it’s not just Yashwant
Sinha we’re talking about) to accept that the major reason for things
not happening is, by and large, not the bureaucracy, it’s the politicians
themselves. If there’s no progress in the pace at which privatisation
of public sector units is taking place, why blame poor Pradip Baijal
for this? After all, it is not his fault that the government developed
cold feet over the sale of Maruti Udyog for the last one year after
Shiv Sena supremo Bal Thackeray warned the government that half
its stake in the firm had to be sold to Rahul Bajaj, and through
a certain investment-banking firm. Or if, as he told the Economic
Editors Conference on Friday, the government kept plans on selling
off computer-services firm CMC for over two years.
The
government is, after a lag of eight months, believed to be once
again toying with the idea of shifting telecom secretary Shyamal
Ghosh. At the time of the Gujarat earthquake, orders were signed
transferring him to look after rehabilitation in the state. The
ostensible reason for wanting Ghosh out is that he didn’t vigorously
pursue the recovery of close to a thousand crore rupees from licence
fee defaulters like the Rais and Mittals. Again, this is not to
endorse Ghosh’s stay as telecom secretary, but surely the role of
Ram Vilas Paswan and his deputy Tapan Sikdar played a very major
role in the matter — Sikdar personally wrote notes on why Sunil
Mittal need not pay anything in the Evergrowth case.
So
let’s get on with the great bureaucratic reshuffle if we have to,
but then can we get down to looking after the economy?
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