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April
20, 2002
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Rational
Expectations
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The
ugly American
Nothing
speaks more eloquently of US hypocrisy than its officials continuing
to defend deposed energy giant Enrons interests in India (the
Dabhol plant), despite the company being in all manner of trouble
in the US, including Congressional investigation into the possibility
of it funding various US politicians to help mould energy policy
to suit its interests. Sure, we all recognise that Enrons
best bet especially now that it is down in the dumps
is to get India to begin buying Dabhols overpriced electricity
all over again, and that as someone who accepted its liberal donations
quite willingly, the George Bush administration, is honour-bound
to advance its interests. But surely the US doesnt want the
impression to spread, any further, that theres one set of
ethics for the White Anglo Saxon Protestant world and a different
one for poor Brown-Blacks in developing Asian nations?
First,
it was Ambassador Robert Blackwill who spoke of how India not honouring
her contracts was sending a bad signal to potential investors. The
honourable Blackwill, in his address to the Indo-American Chambers
of Commerce in January, then went a step further, and launched a
broadside on Indias high import barriers on Californian
grapes and wines saying that discerning Indians were being
denied the choice to make purchase decisions. He followed this up
by a righteous quote from his boss collected works that went
roughly along the following lines: when the US negotiates for open
markets, it was providing new hope for the worlds poor; when
it promoted free trade, it was actually promoting political freedom.
(Presumably then, the recent unilateral US imposts on steel imports
are to be explained as a means to check the spread of too much political
freedom, the kind Americas new-found ally Pervez Musharraf
doesnt seem to like too much either.)
And
now, following in Blackwills footsteps, is department of energy
assistant secretary Vicky Bailey, who came to India a few days ago
to say, more subtly, that the doubt cast on sanctity of contracts
by the Dabhol episode would mean the death of potential investments.
Cmon guys, one-sided power purchase agreements of the Enron-kind
have been opened up and renegotiated in the past in many parts of
the world, and if contracts are so sacrosanct, what is Enron being
prosecuted or is persecuted the better word?
for in the US? If Enrons a rogue company in the US,
it sounds hypocritical for the US government to turn around and
say that what Enron did in developing countries was still perfectly
legal.
Besides,
those in US electricity firms (such as Cogentrix, for instance,
in the pre-China Light days) will tell you that most of them thought
Enron was getting a sweetheart deal anyway, so they werent
too bothered by what happened to the Dabhol deal. Indias power
sector has lots, and lots, of problems, but Dabhol isnt the
biggest of them.
Having
said that, it would be unfair not to say that it is the stupidity,
or collusion, of successive Indian governments that has given the
US a stick to beat us with. First, the manner in which the project
was cleared. At a meeting chaired by him, based on a presentation
made by Enron, the then Finance Secretary Montek Singh Ahluwalia
had said the cost of power offered by Dabhol appeared to be a fair
one. This statement was then quoted by all concerned as the Official
Scripture and the Central Electricity Authority, whose job it was
to examine the projects techno-economic feasibility, cleared
it saying that since Montek had said the price of electricity was
fine, this meant the cost of the project itself was also fine
after all, how can the project be over-priced if the electricity
itself is correctly priced? Check the files if you think Im
joking.
Anyway,
none of this apparently convinced the Shiv Sena-BJP, which felt
there was some hanky panky with the project and threatened to throw
Enron into the Arabian Sea when it came to power. And it did just
that, cancelled the (at that time) 695 MW project, and then curiously
agreed to a 2,400 MW one on terms that were even more favourable
to Enron!
What
takes the cake, of course, is what the government is doing with
the project now. It has cancelled the project, but obviously cannot
pursue the charge that Enron bribed politicians to get a sweetheart
deal. So what does it do to prevent Enron from going to the arbitration
court? Government-owned financial institutions (FIs), that have
lent Dabhol over Rs 6,000 crore, are now trying to invite bidders
to buy out Enrons stake. But, as this column has argued earlier,
no one is going to buy a 2,400 MW power plant until the State Electricity
Boards are made viable (you can sell power only to SEBs), and that
cant be done till ... The only workable solution is for the
public sector NTPC to buy out Enron, but thats not acceptable
to the power ministry. So, as they have been doing for the last
six months, the FIs will keep tripping over themselves, finding
new ways to try and market the Dabhol plant.
Meanwhile,
lets settle down and wait for the next American who comes
calling.
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