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Tuesday, June 2, 1998

Optimism tempered with caution 

Our Bureau  
Chennai, June 1: Industry in Tamil Nadu has by and large welcomed the Union Budget for 1998-99 with the comment: "The finance minister has done a lot of tight-rope driving but through fast lane."

According to CII southern region past president and managing director of Ashok Leyland R Seshasayee, the budget has given five key messages:

  • It has succeeded in delinking economics from politics. The finance minister has given a clear signal that economic reforms will be continued and reforms in general were investor friendly. FERA has been scrapped, FEMA has been introduced, rationalisation of licensing and taxes in general clearly bring out the economic features of the budget.

  • The Swadeshi bomb has followed the political (nuclear) bomb. The across the board eight per cent Customs duty hike has ignored the selective approach needed for all industry because some need more transitional support than others.

  • Government has finally agreed that a balance is needed between inflation and economicgrowth. "We cannot have a low rate of inflation and expect higher economic growth," Seshasayee noted. Also he agreed that increase in petrol prices may lead to some inflation but its impact may not result in reduction of demand for motor vehicles."The customer buying a new vehicle is a statement of confidence in the future of the economy," he said.

  • The budget showed an awareness of importance and comprehension of information technology and several small adjustments in duty for encouraging products made by small industrial units. The emphasis on these sectors showed that the government is modern and active and willing to encourage a new generation of entrepreneurs.

  • Lastly according to him, the budget dealt with a wide canvas, addressing concerns of stock market as well as industry needs besides requirements of states.

    However, Seshasayee pointed out the negative aspect of the budget which talked of freezing of Modvat. "It is the spirit that bothers me. You do not promise to give credit andrenege with retrospective effect," he said.

    He felt that opening of the insurance sector to domestic private sector was a first step in enhancing the liberal process. Later if found necessary the government may allow these domestic players to have foreign joint ventures and limit their participation to 49 per cent. These are to be worked out later.

    CII vice-chairman of southern region L Ganesh while stating that budget focussed on rural economy without being flamboyant, it also talked of "swadeshi". Even so it dealt with issues raised by industry and this showed that the government had a mind of its own.

    Another welcome feature was the recognition of the honest tax payer. Its emphasis on infrastructure areas especially housing and construction would give a kick-start to the economy.

    According to Ganesh, the budget also revealed simplicity and sincerity of purpose and was based on reality, not on dreams.

    The several concessions given to small scale sector were also welcomed by S Seetharamaiah,managing director of Susira Industries, as a "very friendly budget". Two big problems of SSIs, viz, credit delivery and inspector raj were addressed quite efficiently, he felt.

    CII southern region chairman and Yuken India Ltd managing director C P Rangachar noted that the finance minister had done a good job in a difficult situation.

    In general, the budget would give a boost to the economy even if it led to a slightly higher inflation. But this could be managed in the years ahead, he said.

    Industry needed breathing space and needed to source capital to make it more competitive. Hopefully the budget would create more space and generate more employment. Steps to increase tax burden had been introduced by widening the tax net but this was necessary. A lot more needed to be done, especially giving policy a proper legal framework, and seeing that many of the well-intended provisions were fully implemented without any road blocks, the captains of the industry noted.

    Copyright © 1998 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.


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