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Wednesday, August 5, 1998

Market is beginning to stabilise 

K Seshadri  
Bajaj Auto and Hindustan Lever took the lead in stabilising the market on Tuesday. Bajaj Auto preferred not to go down to Rs 615, which would have been its logical destination in the on going technical correction. Instead, the scrip made a 0.95 per cent gain to close at Rs 639. HLL too did a similar trick. It closed at Rs 1664 and refused to go down to Rs 1628. The volumes were low but that only lends credence to the fact that bears do not find it interesting to drive it down by another Rs 30, for the scrip could bounce back quickly.

What was seen on these two counters was repeated in several other counters - namely scrips failed to go below the previous low and made marginal gains. Of course, there were exceptions.

But when you look at the stabilisation at the RIL and SBI counter, the hunch you get is that the spell of selling down is coming to an end. For the Sensex, the opening and low at 3107 was almost level with the previous low of 3108. And the close was higher at 3120. The stochastic indicator isstill in sell mode but would change when the stabilisation process is confirmed some more.

Irrespective of this position, the market has given many signals of the selling coming to an end. We have a good combination of stabilised prices and the opening of the new NSE week account on Wednesday. That should reinforce the recovery. SBI and RIL both offer good opportunity, as indeed ITC. ITC has been subdued with criticism of the parent supporting siblings with cash. Nevertheless, it has stabilised and is primed to make an upmove however weak that may be.

MTNL continuing its strident upstance is another indicator that the market is stabilising. ICICI too made a come back recovering the previous day's loss. Indian Hotels has attracted huge volumes. The scrip had earlier declined to Rs 381 from Rs 514. The decline from Rs 381 to the current level is perhaps exaggerated and the scrip could recover all the way back to Rs 381. The high volume indicates investment buying. Other long term investors should think itover.

BHEL, BSES, HPCL, IDBI, ITC, SAIL, Telco and Tata Chem offer scope for an upmove. Larsen might be close to its decline. The pattern of decline in M&M suggests quick recovery when that happens. Imaginative players can accumulate now.

Copyright © 1998 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.


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