India Business Forum

Search Button

The Indian Express

The Financial Express

Latest News

Market Indicators

Screen

Boulevard India

Celebrity Chat

Express Computers

Express Power

Letters

Advertisers Forum


Headstart

Business Forum

Lifemate

Zevraat

Express Properties

Palki - Travel

Information Technology

Astrosurf

Eco-India

Dr Know

Morning Digest

Express Greetings

Graffiti

Cartoon


FINANCIAL EXPRESS FRONT PAGE

Corporate

Economy

Expressions

Markets

Leisure

 

Friday, December 4, 1998

Economy has structural faults 

MM Ansari  
The simultaneous existence of poor demand for consumer goods and acute shortage of essential agricultural products are pointers to major structural defects in the economy, which need to be identified to design an effective intervention strategy. Policy discussions on economic revival and relevant reforms, thereof, are confined to issues like reducing fiscal deficit and interest rates, rationalisation of tariff structure, trade and financial-sector reforms, and development of infrastructure. The critical role of some equally important factors like improvements in quality of manpower, entrepreneurial capacity and utilisation of recent advances in technical knowhow for improving productivity have been given scant attention by decision-makers.

In fact, economies with comparative advantage in human capital, howsoever measured, have forged ahead of others, particularly in the wake of globalisation. Due to relative deficiency in India's human resources, it is not surprising that the economy has suffered from lowerproductivity in the farm, industrial and services sectors, which, in turn, is attributable, inter alia, to inadequate efforts to upgrade the technical, managerial and professional competence of the working population. This has not only hampered supplies of agricultural products at reasonable prices, but also impinged upon expansion of economy and productivity-linked earning opportunities, thereby suppressing consumer's purchasing power.

The agricultural sector's performance does not compare favourably with other countries, namely China and Indonesia, which are like India populous and heavily dependent on agriculture. For instance, during 1979-93, whereas per capita food production grew at the rate of 1.5 per cent per annum for India, the corresponding figures for China and Indonesia were 3.0 per cent and 2.2 per cent respectively. This variation in growth rates is largely explained by yield rates, which are much lower for India as compared to the the two countries. Against an yield rate (100 kg per hectare)of 26.1 for India in rice/paddy production, the corresponding rates for China and Indonesia are 58.1 and 44.9 respectively. Similarly, yield rates for China in wheat, cotton and groundnut production are higher by 50-300 per cent. Since availability of arable land is two-and-a-half times higher for India (0.20 hectare per capita) as compared to China (0.08), it is possible to augment agricultural production and supplies at affordable costs, provided, of course, farm-sector productivity is increased through concerned efforts. Special attention will have to be paid to long overdue land reforms and improved level of agricultural inputs, particularly such aspects as functional literacy, education and training of farmers to enable them to effectively respond to various polices and programmes, and employ modern techniques of management of agricultural activities. While nearly two-thirds of the working population in India and China are engaged in agriculture, the Indian work force is much less educated and trainedthan in China, as is evident from adult literacy levels, which are 81 per cent and 83 per cent for China and Indonesia respectively, against 52 per cent for India.

In the liberalised environment in which economic competitiveness depends on application of new knowledge and technologies, endeavours should be made to enhance entrepreneurial capacity, at least to the extent attained by other competitors. It is important for two reasons.

One, inability to raise the threshold level of competence will not only adversely affect productivity and production, but also displace uneducated/unskilled labour force owing to increased intensity of knowledge and technology in the functioning of an open economy. This will also create considerable income disparity between those who can and cannot work in the modernising sectors, the economic consequences of which would be disastrous in a federal set-up and democratic polity.

Two, at least 37 per cent of the rural and 46 per cent of the urban work force have no worthwhileproductive assets to generate income to support their livelihood. They largely depend on wages, which, in turn are determined by education levels, training and skills as acquired by them through concerted efforts. Lack of improvements in technical and professional competence of such a vast working population suppresses productivity and purchasing power. As a result, a serious constraint is imposed on augmentation of supplies to match the demand for essential goods and services at reasonable prices. Since the scope for productivity-linked expansion in employment and earning opportunities is narrow, the growth of purchasing power of a majority of people is severely restricted, which partly explains the demand recession for industrial goods.

Copyright © 1998 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.

Related Stories

Centre exceeds borrowing target, strains fiscal


Top


The Ambassador Group of Hotels

Global Tenders invited by MSTC

The National Stock Exchange of India (NSE)

 

Click here for a printer-friendly page Printer-friendly page

One of India's Leading Banks


The Indian Express  |  The Financial Express  |  Latest News
Screen  |  Express Investment Week  |  Market Indicators  |  Express Computers
Astrosurf  |  Eco-India  |  Travel & Tourism  |  Information Technology  |  Drumbeat: Ad Buzzaar
Advertisers Forum  |  Career India  |  Business Forum  |  Match Maker  |  Express Properties