Mumbai, Dec 16: One merger in the bag and another on the cards was enough tomove even the giant of giants, the IDBI which hit the upper circuit. The M&Amania powered many many banking scrips written off by the market tillrecently back into life. But the most significant of the lot was ICICI.Foreign investors picked up where the domestic operators had left pushing upthe ICICI ADR by over $ 2 in the opening session of trading on the Nasdaq.Trading at $ 15.75, ICICI ADR was at a premium of 20 per cent to theunderlying shares in the domestic market. On the BSE, the ICICI shares hadclosed at Rs 113.45.Ever since the announcement of HDFC Bank-TimesBank merger, punters andinvestors have rushed into a host of private bank stocks, especially thenewly listed ones. But on Thursday, market players ventured into anythingthat was remotely a merger candidate in the banking sector. For instance,even UTI Bank was not left out of the prospective candidates by speculators.UTI Bank has shot up by over 50 per cent since November 25.
The most significant of the change in market perception is the surprisereturn that investors who had reluctantly entered the ICICI public issue afew months ago would enjoy now. Those who had been pessimistic based onconventional wisdom have been proven wrong with the new found merger theorygaining currency among investors. ICICI had offered its shares at Rs 73 tothe public and the scrip was struggling to break out of the shackles of apossible dilution. Overnight, the perception has changed, especially sincethe announcement of the HDFC Bank-TimesBank merger. On its IPO offer pricethe current price gives a return of 55 per cent.
IDBI, which has been bogged down by fears of NPA pulling down the leader'searning growth, saw its scrip shooting up to close at Rs 38.25, up from Rs35.45.
But investors appetite for HDFC Bank shares appears to be unsated. The scriphas almost doubled since the announcement of the merger. And the gap in thePE between HDFC Bank and HDFC is wideninng, with the former trading at over35 multiples and the latter at 9.59. Similaryly, the gap between ICICI andICICI Banking is also widening.
The M&A factor is expected to continue to play a key role in this sectoreven tomorrow after ICICI Bank and Centurion Bank sent notices to the stockexchanges stating that they had no comments about the reports of a merger.This leaves the field wide open for speculators.
Copyright © 1999 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.