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Monsoon behind schedule in northwest states 

Ashok B Sharma  
New Delhi, July 2: The progress of monsoon is still behind the scheduled normal dates in most places in northwest India. The rainfall so far is no better than that in the previous year. As much as 18 out of 35 meteorological subdivisions of the country received less rainfall than that in the corresponding period in the previous year.

Progress of monsoon
Till July 1, the southwest monsoon advanced into the remaining parts of east Rajasthan, rest of Haryana and most parts of Punjab. The northern limit of monsoon passed through Naliya, Jalore, Ajmer, Churu and Ferozpore.

On June 29 southwest monsoon advanced over Delhi. On June 30 it advanced further into southern parts of Gujarat state, parts of east Rajasthan and some more parts of Punjab and Haryana with the northern limit of the monsoon passing through Porbandar, Rajkot, Ahmedabad, Udaipur, Tonk, Alwar, Rohtak and Amritsar and north and northwestern parts of Pakistan. The current slow progress of the monsoon was due to the fact that on June 29, the low pressure area over west central bay of Bengal crossed inland and became less marked over east MP. However, associated upper air cyclonic circulation extended up to 7.6 km above the mean sea level tilting southwestward with height.

Progress forecast
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD) conditions are favourable for further advance of monsoon into the remaining parts of Gujarat state, more parts of Rajasthan and rest of Punjab by June 3. Rainfall activity is likely to increase over central India and along the west coast where rain may be above normal. In northwestern part of the country there may be a slight decrease in rainfall. Rainfall is likely to increase over eastern India. In the remaining parts of the country normal rainfall is likely to continue. On July 3, rain or thundershowers will occur at many places in Haryana, HP, Punjab, east Rajasthan and in the hills of west UP and at few places in north India.

Moderate to heavy rain will occur at many places in north India.

Monsoon review
From June 1 to June 28, nine meteorological sub-divisions received scanty to deficient rainfall. 26 out of 35 meteorological sub-divisions received normal to excess rainfall.

Out of a total of 424 meteorological districts in the country, rainfall data has been received for 404 districts. There was no rain in three districts, one each in Gujarat, Rajasthan and Tamil Nadu.

There was scanty rainfall in 50 districts and deficient rainfall in 72 districts. There was normal rainfall in 102 districts while there was excess rainfall in 177 districts.

There was scanty rainfall in west Rajasthan, Saurashtra, Kutch and Diu. There was deficient rainfall in Andaman & Nicobar Islands; Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; east Rajasthan; west MP; Gujarat region, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli; Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry; Lakshadweep. There was normal to excess rainfall in Arunachal Pradesh; Assam & Meghalaya; sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim; Gangetic West Bengal; Orissa; Bihar plateau; J&K; east MP; Konkan & Goa; coastal Karnataka; north interior Karnataka; Kerala.

There was excess rainfall in Bihar plains; east UP, plains roof west UP, hills of west UP; Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi; Punjab; Himachal Pradesh; central Maharashtra; Marathawada; Vidarbha; coastal Andhra Pradesh; Telangana; Rayalaseema; south interior Karnataka.

Comparison with previous year
From the beginning of the current monsoon season on June 1 till June 28, as many as 18 out of 35 meteorological sub-divisions of the country received less rainfall than that in the corresponding period in the previous year.Four meteorological sub-divisions received almost the same amount of rainfall as that in the like period last year. Only 13 meteorological sub-divisions received more rains than that in the like period last year.

The meteorological sub-divisions which received less rainfall than the previous year are Andaman & Nicobar Islands; Arunachal Pradesh; Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; Gangetic West Bengal; Bihar plateau; Himachal Pradesh; west Rajasthan; east Rajasthan; west MP; east MP; Gujarat region; Saurashtra, Kutch & Diu; Konkan & Goa; central Maharashtra; Vidarbha; Rayalaseema; north interior Karnataka; Kerala.

Copyright © 2000 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.

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