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Cracks in the coalition
When the BJP agreed to the BSP's condition of taking first turn at the
rotational Chief Ministership in the coalition Government in Uttar Pradesh,
it did not bother much about the fall-out of the experiment in the State
itself.
It had set its eyes on the benefits to be reaped at the national level.
Ironically, a majority of the decisions taken by Chief Minister Mayawati
since she took over on March 21 are also directed at getting political
mileage at the national level. BJP State unit leaders are obviously sulking
in silence as they have been directed by national leaders not to criticise
the State Government publicly for it upsets both Mayawati and Kanshi Ram.
The Ambedkar Park being constructed in Lucknow at a cost of Rs 50 crore, the
Parivartan Chowk at a cost of Rs 2 crore, the creation of five new districts
within a month and naming all of them after prominent Dalit social reformers
are directed towards only one goal: instilling a sense of pride among Dalits
all over the country and in turn getting bagful of votes.
It is the BJP which has had to bear the cost of Mayawati's overt
`Dalitisation' of Uttar Pradesh. Mayawati's district-creation spree has hurt
a prominent section of BJP supporters. Some saints in Chitrakoot, the new
district which has been rechristened Chhatrapati Shahuji Nagar, after
Maharashtra's great social reformer, have threatened self-immolation if the
name of the district is not changed again. Chitrakoot being associated with
Lord Rama, has a religio-historical significance while no one knows anything
about Shahuji, says a State BJP leader.
But that is precisely the reason for Mayawati naming the districts after
little-known Dalit reformers. ``If they were as famous as Jawaharlal Nehru
or Mahatma Gandhi, there was no need for us to popularise them,'' claims
State BSP President Dayaram Pal. The move will pay off for the BSP in other
States as well, especially in Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Andhra
Pradesh, claims another BSP leader.
The BJP, meanwhile, is lying inert under Mayawati's onslaught, waiting
patiently for its turn to govern. The party's most prominent leader, Kalyan
Singh, who has been projected as Chief Minister-in-waiting is fuming. While
touring far-flung districts in the State, he doesn't lose an opportunity to
hit out at Mayawati and her policies but once in Lucknow, he maintains a
studied silence, keeping probing journalists at a distance. ``Saheb ghar par
nahin hain'' (He is not at home) is the standard reply of his servants.
Singh was the first BJP leader who came out openly against Mayawati during
her first tenure as Chief Minister in 1995, criticising both her mass
transfers and the Periyar Mela. Singh had accused her of taking Rs 500 crore
to effect key bureaucratic changes.
In the post-poll scenario in October last year, with no party getting a
clear majority, BJP leaders led by Atal Behari Vajpayee, Lalji Tandon and
the late Brahma Dutt Dwivedi, had almost decided to give outside support to
the BSP Government but for Kalyan Singh's rebellious posture. Singh set the
tone by claiming ``there cannot be two Chief Ministers in one State and I
have yet not given up my claim to the coveted post''.
Probably this was the reason why Kalyan was not consulted while finalising
the BJP-BSP pact to form the government in Uttar Pradesh. He was not even
included in the BSP-BJP steering committee formed to monitor governance in
the State.
An incensed Singh launched his tirade against Mayawati once again from his
home district Aligarh, which was split by Mayawati and the new district
named Mahamayanagar after Gautam Buddha's mother. Singh, a Lodh Rajput by
caste, wanted it to be named after an erstwhile Lodh Ruler, Avanti Bai.
DIFFERENCES have also started cropping within the BJP over the support to
Mayawati's Government. The Kalyan Singh camp believes that being equal
partner in the Government, the BJP should be consulted by the Chief Minister
before every policy announcement while the other camp led by PWD Minister
Kalraj Mishra believes in waiting patiently for its own turn dictate terms
to the administration.
Kalyan Singh believes in keeping the BSP in check if the BJP wants to keep
its vote bank comprising mainly upper castes and OBCs intact. ``The damage
done by Mayawati during her six months can't be repaired by the BJP even it
were to rule the State for the next six years,'' says a minister close to
Kalyan Singh.
Kalyan faces another threat to his Chief Ministerial ambitions, again from
within his party as a section of senior ministers have started rooting for
an upper caste chief minister after Mayawati to placate the sentiments of
their vote bank. Kalyan being a Lodh, a backward caste, does not fit the
bill and hence the seat might go to either PWD Minister Kalraj Mishra, Urban
Development Minister Lalji Tandon or State BJP President Raj Nath Singh.
With one of the upper caste Chief Ministerial candidates claiming that the
BJP had not decided who would be next Chief Minister as it is the MLAs and
not Central leaders who will elect him, the alarm bells have already sounded
for Kalyan Singh. This was another reason for Kalyan wanting immediate
elections and for others to give ``blind support'' to Mayawati till their
turn came.
IF the BJP is a divided house, so is the BSP. At least two senior party
leaders, including Bhagwat Pal, the State party president till about a
fortnight ago, raised the banner of rebellion against the Chief Minister.
They accused her of adopting a dictatorial attitude. Mayawati's response was
to order Estate Department officials to evict Pal from his Government
bungalow while the latter was away in Delhi.
Ironically, two of Pal's predecessors, Raj Bahadur and Jung Bahadur Patel,
too had similar unceremonious exits from the party. Both joined Mulayam
Singh Yadav's Samajwadi Party: Raj Bahadur barely hours before Mayawati was
sworn in as Chief Minister in June 1995 and Patel, at the fall of her
Government in October that year.
Incidentally, all three ex-presidents of the State BSP were committed party
workers for over two decades and it was their growing clout within the
party, resented by Mayawati, which led to their unceremonious ouster.
Pre-empting Mayawati's move, Pal has already announced that Mayawati might
accuse him of being hand-in-glove with the Samajwadi Party.
Similarly, an influential Socialist leader, Harsha Vardhan, a Thakur by
caste, roped in by Mayawati to contest from Maharajganj, has turned against
her after she announced his expulsion at a public rally last week. Vardhan,
a one-time close associate of George Fernandes, has asked BSP President
Kanshi Ram to explain why he was not issued a show-cause notice before being
expelled from the party. He has also threatened to approach the Election
Commission seeking de-recognition of BSP on the ground that it did not have
inner-party democracy. With the BSP not having completed its organisational
elections, its status with the EC is anyway suspect.
Will both parties survive their internal contradictions to govern the State?
The jury on that is still out but the future of the State seems decidely
grim.
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