Inflation falls to 8.40 pct, at 7-month low

Agencies Posted: Dec 04, 2008 at 1654 hrs
New Delhi Inflation fell to its lowest in nearly seven months to 8.40 per cent, giving RBI enough room for deeper rate cuts to propel the economy -- expectations of which fostered a strong rally in the equities market on Thursday.

The rate, measured by wholesale prices, eased for the fourth straight week and was lower by 0.44 percentage points in the seven-day period ending November 22 from the previous week.

However, inflation for food articles grew by 10.43 per cent from 9.93 per cent a week ago. Items like coffee, sea fish, masur, rice, eggs, arhar, fruits, vegetables and gram cost more in the week under review.

A sharp fall in global crude prices, which had touched a high of USD 147 a barrel in July and is now ruling near USD 45, and duty cuts on ATF (jet fuel) led to a huge decline in prices of industrial fuels in India.

The drop in inflation numbers will make it easier for RBI to cut key short-term rates - possibly this weekend when the government is expected to unveil a stimulus package for the housing, auto and export sectors.

The stock market rallied on these expectations and advanced by 482 points to close above the 9,200-points mark.

Crisil Principal Economist D K Joshi said, "Inflation has fallen sharply than our expectations, led by fuel group and manufactured goods prices. This gives RBI more leeway for interest rate cut and I expect agrressive reduction in both repo and reverse repo rate soon."